When I signed up for the 2021 USA Archery Outdoor National Championship it was early. I was worried that the Championship might reach capacity the way the 2021 Gator Cup attained its limit.
I also set a minimum average per arrow I’d need to shoot before I competed. I’ve exceeded that pre-selected average a couple for times during practice sessions designed to record and monitor my points per arrow. The bad thing is my average per arrow has not reached my goal.
It wasn’t close. I missed by 0.5 points per arrow. That is a lot of points over 144 arrows. It means my average score lands me in 8th place at the Nationals. (Based on past three years scores for the event.)
I’d nearly talked myself into going, having fun, and hoping for one of those zone days where I’d shoot closer to the better points per average of my curve. On a really good day I might win or at least be in the top three. My best area of my score curve suggests I could win by 12 points. My personal best has me winning by 20 points. My average has me finishing 8th.
In preparation I researched the scores over the past three years. I checked scores on the archers entered. And I looked at the cost benefit to competing when I’m not yet fully prepared.
The cost, to me, would have been $1285.00 for everything. That seems like a lot of money to pay for 8th place. That is, of course, me shooting my average and everyone else shooting within 2 standard deviations of their most recent scores. Worse case, using the lower scores from my curve would land me in 10th place. The cost benefit didn’t reach the point where going was worth the investment. If I’d achieved my goal set for points per arrow average I’d have not withdrawn.